A new analysis of the 40 largest global miners by PwC states that the dividend yields are now at an all-time high of five per cent
According to the report, the industry trimmed spending and largely managed expectations through higher production and unexpected help from currency devaluations and lower input costs, despite continued headwinds from weak commodity prices.
“The success of cost-saving initiatives became more apparent in 2014 as operating costs decreased five per cent. While the mining industry had been indicating for the last two years their intention to reduce capital spending, such reductions were actually realised in 2014 as expenditures on significant projects declined 20 per cent. A key measure of the industry’s investment agenda, capital velocity, slowed to just above 12 per cent with further decreases expected in 2015 and for the first time, the total asset base shrunk one per cent,” said Michal Kotze, head of PwC’s Africa Mining Centre of Excellence.
The year 2014 was expected to be a tough fight for the global mining industry with commodity prices down and short-term volatility increasing. The initial score card for the largest 40 miners was mixed and now the ‘gloves are off’ for the industry with widespread government intervention, internal industry conflicts and rising shareholder activism, according to PwC’s annual mine report.
The report analysed 40 of the largest listed mining companies by market capitalisation. Two of the three new entrants in this year’s top 40 were Chinese companies and one was from North America. The financial information for 2014 covers the reporting periods from 1 April 2013 to 31 December 2014, with each company’s results included for the 12-month financial reporting period that falls into this time frame.
While commodity prices decreased across a number of commodities and drove lower revenues, the report found this was partially offset by increased volumes, particularly in iron ore where supply expanded on the back of large expansion programmes of the past few years.
“The decline in the iron ore price is having a significant impact on the top 40 miners. While slower demand from China is making headlines, the price declines are more related to the current oversupply in the market. With few exceptions, market supply and demand trends result in miners operating on the assumption that lower commodity prices will continue and the focus will therefore remain on containing operating costs and maintaining capital discipline,” Kotze said.
For the second year, the majority of the largest mining companies came from emerging markets Brazil, Central and Eastern Europe, China, India, and Saudi Arabia, rather than the Organisation of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) markets, with another two top entrants from China and a lower overall decline of only seven per cent – compared to an OECD drop of 21 per cent – in market capitalisation. This decrease was despite a lower adjusted profit contribution from companies in the emerging markets.
“Mining companies from emerging markets tend to focus on mining in their own jurisdictions whereas those in the OECD tend to have more diverse global portfolios. This divide, coupled with the wealth of new development potential in emerging markets and differing shareholder expectations, continues to create divergence,” observed Andries Rossouw, assurance partner at PwC.
“How the industry will grow in the years ahead will be impacted by a number of factors, including the ability of Tier 1 assets to produce substantial quantities at costs significantly below average; the demand for commodities from China and other emerging markets; the impact of changing tax, environmental and beneficiation regimes; and the willingness by the industry to enter into greenfield projects, instead of only developing smaller brownfield projects,” Rossouw concluded.
