Manufacturing

ITFC to support energy and food security in Comoros

ITFC 19 April The International Islamic Trade Finance Corporation (ITFC), has approved two new financing facilities for US$37mn in favor of the Union of Comoros, with US$mn dedicated to support the import of energy commodities such as petroleum products and LPG


The financing lines will facilitate the import of rice and petroleum products, therefore powering intra-OIC trade as well as providing direct benefits to the Comorian people. The Union of Comoros will equally leverage the financing facilities to import other food products such as cooking oil, flour, and wheat.

Since 2008, ITFC has approved more than US$500mn in cumulative financing in favor of the Union of Comoros to ensure the country’s energy and food security.

Hani Salem Sonbol, CEO of ITFC, stated, “ITFC is working with OIC member countries and partners to provide solutions that directly impact the lives of communities, including increasing access to energy and improving food security. We are pleased to see that these impacts are central to the new financing for Comoros.  Equally important is that the agreements also enhance intra-OIC trade and are aligned with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (UN SDGs). At ITFC, we are committed to increasing the impact of trade and we shall keep working together with our partners to achieve our collective goals.”

Kamalidini Souef, minister of finance, budget and banking Sector of the Union of Comoros, added, “We are pleased to sign the financing agreement with ITFC, a key development partner of the Union of Comoros since 2008.  This support to increase the supply in key sectors of our economy such as energy and food commodities has positively impacted the living conditions of the people of Comoros. We look forward to further cooperation between Comoros and ITFC.”   

To build on this partnership, ITFC will look to formulate strategic cooperation with the Union of Comoros to support the country's sustainable tourism development plan and provide the necessary financing and capacity building to achieve its economic development goals.

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World Bank forecasts uneven recovery in MENA region

World Bank 18 April MenaEconomies in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region are expected to grow by 5.2% in 2022, the fastest rate since 2016, on the back of oil-price windfalls benefitting the region’s oil exporters


"Reality Check: Forecasting Growth in the Middle East and North Africa in Times of Uncertainty", the World Bank’s latest economic update forecasts an uneven recovery as regional averages mask broad differences. Oil-producers will benefit from higher oil prices and vaccination rates as fragile countries lag. But tighter global monetary policy, the unpredictability of the course of the pandemic, ongoing supply chain disruptions and food price hikes raise inflation risks for the entire region.

"The harsh reality is that no one is out of the woods yet. The threat of COVID-19 variants remains and the war in Ukraine has multiplied risks, particularly for the poor who bear the brunt of the increase in food and energy prices. A good dose of realism about the region’s growth prospects during these times of uncertainty is essential," said Ferid Belhaj, vice-president, World Bank for the MENA region. "Managing this wave of uncertainty is a key challenge for policymakers and the World Bank is committed to working alongside governments across the MENA region during this time of compounding risks," he added.

Currency depreciation in some countries in MENA is already adding to inflationary pressures. Economies facing fiscal and debt vulnerabilities will likely encounter more challenges as they roll over existing debt, or issue new debt amid tighter financing conditions as global central banks aim to contain inflation expectations.

Inflationary pressures created by the pandemic have been exacerbated by the Ukraine war. Countries in the MENA region rely heavily on food imports, including wheat from Russia and Ukraine. The rise in food prices and the higher risk of food insecurity are likely to hurt poor families the most, because the poor tend to spend more of their household budget on food and energy than do rich households. 

Despite the projected growth rate of 5.2%, GDP per capita, an indicator of people’s living standards, will barely exceed pre-pandemic levels due to a generally lackluster performance in 2020-2021, the report said. In Gulf Cooperation Council countries, buoyed by the increase in oil prices, GDP per capita is projected to grow by 4.5% in 2022, but will not recover to pre-pandemic levels until 2023. In contrast, in 2022, GDP per capita of middle-income oil exporters is projected to grow by 3.0%, and by 2.4% for the region’s oil importers, both barely lifting living standards above pre-pandemic levels. 

Adding to pandemic-related uncertainty, only a third of the middle-income MENA countries have higher vaccination rates than their income peers. As of  4 April, 2022, Gulf countries, excluding Oman which has a 57.8% vaccination rate, have an average rate of 75.7%, which is far better than their income peers. But countries like Algeria and Iraq have vaccinated around 13 to 17% of their populations and Yemen and Syria have vaccination rates in the single digits, thus leaving them more exposed to the economic and health consequences of Covid-19 in the near future.

Economic forecasts are a valuable tool for governments as they prepare for the future, especially during times of uncertainty. The authors found that growth forecasts in the MENA region over the past decade were often inaccurate and overly optimistic when compared to those of other regions. Overly optimistic forecasts can lead to economic contractions down the road. A key driver of forecast uncertainty is the availability and accessibility of quality and timely information, an area where MENA lags behind the rest of the developing world.

"In the current context of global and regional uncertainty, getting the most accurate forecasts possible becomes even more important. Lack of data and limited data openness are risky strategies. Only with better and more transparent data can forecasts, and with them planning and policy formulation, improve," said Roberta Gatti, chief economist, World Bank for the MENA region.

 

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